Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 61.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 15.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.16%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.