SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 55.06%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Monza had a probability of 22.34%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Monza win it was 1-2 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Monza |
55.06% ( 2.18) | 22.59% ( -0.95) | 22.34% ( -1.23) |
| Both teams to score 56.51% ( 1.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.97% ( 2.88) | 43.03% ( -2.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.57% ( 2.79) | 65.43% ( -2.79) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.47% ( 1.8) | 15.52% ( -1.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.56% ( 3.25) | 44.44% ( -3.26) |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.9% ( 0.5) | 33.1% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.3% ( 0.54) | 69.7% ( -0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| AC Milan | Draw | Monza |
| 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.63)2-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.42)3-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.31)3-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.27)4-1 @ 2.85% ( 0.35)4-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.29)4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.21)5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.19)5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.16)Other @ 2.65% Total : 55.06% | 1-1 @ 10.58% ( -0.54) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.13)0-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.68)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.59% | 1-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.22) 0-1 @ 5.68% ( -0.67)0-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.32)1-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.35% Total : 22.34% |
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