SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for Monza had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Monza win was 2-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monza | Draw | AC Milan |
33.51% ( 0.05) | 24.11% ( 0.01) | 42.37% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 60.33% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.94% ( -0.06) | 42.05% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.54% ( -0.06) | 64.45% ( 0.06) |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.46% ( -0) | 24.54% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.98% ( -0) | 59.01% ( -0) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.95% ( -0.06) | 20.05% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.73% ( -0.09) | 52.26% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Monza | Draw | AC Milan |
| 2-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.65% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 2.77% Total : 33.51% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.11% | 1-2 @ 8.93% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.35% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.78% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.01% Total : 42.37% |
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