SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 59.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 17.99%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Udinese |
59.84% ( -0.14) | 22.17% ( 0.07) | 17.99% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 50.85% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.87% ( -0.19) | 47.13% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.64% ( -0.17) | 69.36% ( 0.18) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.66% ( -0.11) | 15.34% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.89% ( -0.21) | 44.11% ( 0.21) |
| Udinese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.06% ( -0.02) | 39.94% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.41% ( -0.02) | 76.59% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| AC Milan | Draw | Udinese |
| 1-0 @ 11.48% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.76% 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.17% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.34% Total : 59.83% | 1-1 @ 10.54% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.97% Total : 22.17% | 0-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.48% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0)Other @ 2.07% Total : 17.99% |
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