SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Morecambe |
41.57% ( 0.06) | 25.92% ( 0.22) | 32.5% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 53.77% ( -0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.55% ( -1.03) | 50.44% ( 1.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.62% ( -0.92) | 72.37% ( 0.91) |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.97% ( -0.42) | 24.03% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.7% ( -0.6) | 58.29% ( 0.6) |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.77% ( -0.69) | 29.22% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.82% ( -0.86) | 65.17% ( 0.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Morecambe |
| 1-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 8.78% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 4.17% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.89% Total : 41.57% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.91% | 0-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.52% Total : 32.51% |
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