SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 62.26%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 19.03% and a draw had a probability of 18.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.44%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (4.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for ADO Den Haag in this match.
| Result | ||
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | Jong Ajax |
62.26% ( -0.16) | 18.71% ( 0.17) | 19.03% |
| Both teams to score 65.36% ( -0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.85% ( -0.84) | 29.15% ( 0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.84% ( -1.03) | 50.16% ( 1.04) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.87% ( -0.27) | 9.13% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.02% ( -0.66) | 30.98% ( 0.66) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.93% ( -0.52) | 28.07% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.27% ( -0.67) | 63.73% ( 0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | Jong Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.18)1-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.22)3-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 3.51% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.09)5-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.06)4-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.06)Other @ 4.28% Total : 62.26% | 1-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 2% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.43% Total : 18.71% | 1-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 3.26% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.04)Other @ 4.15% Total : 19.03% |
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