SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 46.4%. A win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Panathinaikos win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AEK Athens | Draw | Panathinaikos |
46.4% ( -2.43) | 26.45% ( 1.03) | 27.14% ( 1.4) |
| Both teams to score 49.3% ( -1.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.1% ( -3.09) | 54.9% ( 3.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.81% ( -2.61) | 76.19% ( 2.62) |
| AEK Athens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.37% ( -2.4) | 23.63% ( 2.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.28% ( -3.59) | 57.72% ( 3.59) |
| Panathinaikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.55% ( -0.51) | 35.45% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.79% ( -0.53) | 72.21% ( 0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| AEK Athens | Draw | Panathinaikos |
| 1-0 @ 12.08% ( 0.59) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.33)2-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 4.35% ( -0.49)3-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.41)3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.29)4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.31)4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.27)Other @ 2.69% Total : 46.4% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.45) 0-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.96)2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.24)Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.45% | 0-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.89) 1-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.4)1-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.03% Total : 27.14% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
