Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 46.4%. A win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Panathinaikos win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
AEK Athens	Draw	Panathinaikos
46.4% ( -2.43)	26.45% ( 1.03)	27.14% ( 1.4)

Both teams to score 49.3% (

-1.95)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.1% (

-3.09)

54.9% (

3.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.81% (

-2.61)

76.19% (

2.62)

AEK Athens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.37% (

-2.4)

23.63% (

2.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.28% (

-3.59)

57.72% (

3.59)

Panathinaikos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.55% (

-0.51)

35.45% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.79% (

-0.53)

72.21% (

0.53)

Score Analysis

AEK Athens 46.4%

Panathinaikos 27.14%

Draw 26.45%

AEK Athens	Draw	Panathinaikos
1-0 @ 12.08% ( 0.59) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.33) 2-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 4.35% ( -0.49) 3-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.41) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.29) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.31) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.27) Other @ 2.69% Total : 46.4%	1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.45) 0-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.96) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.24) Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.45%	0-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.89) 1-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.4) 1-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.03% Total : 27.14%