SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 65.4%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Al Fayha had a probability of 16.41%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 3-1 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for an Al Fayha win it was 1-2 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Al-Nassr in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Al-Nassr.
| Result | ||
| Al-Nassr | Draw | Al Fayha |
65.4% ( 8.82) | 18.19% ( -2.25) | 16.41% ( -6.59) |
| Both teams to score 61.7% ( -3.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.6% ( 0.57) | 31.39% ( -0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.14% ( 0.67) | 52.85% ( -0.68) |
| Al-Nassr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.95% ( 2.33) | 9.04% ( -2.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.22% ( 5.34) | 30.77% ( -5.35) |
| Al Fayha Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.84% ( -5.8) | 32.16% ( 5.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.35% ( -7.14) | 68.64% ( 7.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Nassr | Draw | Al Fayha |
| 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 8.4% ( 1.31)3-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.79)1-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.47)3-0 @ 6.73% ( 1.6)4-1 @ 4.59% ( 0.87)3-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.23)4-0 @ 4.04% ( 1.25)4-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.12)5-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.59)5-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.73)5-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.17)4-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.12)Other @ 4.19% Total : 65.4% | 1-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.77) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.89)0-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.39)Other @ 0.31% Total : 18.19% | 1-2 @ 4.5% ( -1.3) 0-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.7)2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.76)0-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.8)1-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.88)Other @ 3% Total : 16.41% |
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