SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Al-Hilal had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.39%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Al-Hilal win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al-Nassr | Draw | Al-Hilal |
44.3% ( 0.6) | 22.66% ( 0.75) | 33.04% ( -1.35) |
| Both teams to score 65.57% ( -3.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.87% ( -4.27) | 35.13% ( 4.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.87% ( -4.91) | 57.13% ( 4.91) |
| Al-Nassr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.55% ( -1.46) | 16.44% ( 1.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.87% ( -2.7) | 46.13% ( 2.7) |
| Al-Hilal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.47% ( -2.68) | 21.53% ( 2.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.41% ( -4.3) | 54.59% ( 4.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Nassr | Draw | Al-Hilal |
| 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.37) 1-0 @ 6.39% ( 1.03)2-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.68)3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.39)3-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.25)4-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.28)4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.04)4-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.24)Other @ 3.62% Total : 44.3% | 1-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.87) 2-2 @ 6.8% ( -0.28)0-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.72)3-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.4)Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.66% | 1-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 5.44% ( 0.73)0-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.3)2-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.46)0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.25)2-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.31)Other @ 3.6% Total : 33.04% |
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