SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 28.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Buxton win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Buxton |
46.22% ( -0.06) | 25.24% ( 0) | 28.53% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 53.97% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.72% ( 0.03) | 49.28% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.66% ( 0.03) | 71.33% ( -0.03) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.67% ( -0.01) | 21.33% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.71% ( -0.02) | 54.29% ( 0.02) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.6% ( 0.06) | 31.4% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.23% ( 0.06) | 67.77% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Buxton |
| 1-0 @ 10.34% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.77% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.48% Total : 46.22% | 1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 7.76% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.85% Total : 28.53% |
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