SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 62.34%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 15.66%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.03%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Spennymoor Town win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
62.34% ( -0.2) | 22% ( 0.16) | 15.66% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 46.68% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.78% ( -0.55) | 50.22% ( 0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.82% ( -0.49) | 72.18% ( 0.5) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.43% ( -0.25) | 15.57% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.48% ( -0.47) | 44.53% ( 0.47) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.29% ( -0.27) | 44.71% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.3% ( -0.22) | 80.7% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.94% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 12.03% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.06% Total : 62.33% | 1-1 @ 10.42% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.71% Total : 22% | 0-1 @ 5.6% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.44% Total : 15.66% |
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