SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 49.08%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Almere City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Almere City | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
49.08% ( 0.2) | 22.9% ( -0.05) | 28.01% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 61.58% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.91% ( 0.15) | 39.08% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.59% ( 0.16) | 61.41% ( -0.16) |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.81% ( 0.13) | 16.18% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.34% ( 0.23) | 45.66% ( -0.24) |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.47% ( -0.03) | 26.53% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.27% ( -0.03) | 61.73% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Almere City | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
| 2-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.58% Total : 49.08% | 1-1 @ 10.37% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.9% | 1-2 @ 6.88% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.7% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.77% 0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.23% Total : 28.01% |
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