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Scottish League One | Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Gayfield Park
AA

Arbroath
0 - 0
Alloa


Flynn (38'), Dow (42'), Watson (73')
FT

Taggart (23'), Virtanen (66')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Arbroath and Alloa Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dumbarton 2-2 Arbroath
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Annan 0-1 Alloa
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 43.77%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
ArbroathDrawAlloa Athletic
32.15% (-4.666 -4.67) 24.07% (-0.382 -0.38) 43.77% (5.043 5.04)
Both teams to score 59.95% (0.212 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.67% (0.766 0.77)42.32% (-0.771 -0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.27% (0.761 0.76)64.73% (-0.76600000000001 -0.77)
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.52% (-2.283 -2.28)25.47% (2.279 2.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.69% (-3.227 -3.23)60.31% (3.223 3.22)
Alloa Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.45% (2.663 2.66)19.55% (-2.668 -2.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.54% (4.179 4.18)51.45% (-4.184 -4.18)
Score Analysis
    Arbroath 32.15%
    Alloa Athletic 43.77%
    Draw 24.07%
ArbroathDrawAlloa Athletic
2-1 @ 7.6% (-0.676 -0.68)
1-0 @ 6.81% (-0.72 -0.72)
2-0 @ 4.66% (-0.845 -0.85)
3-1 @ 3.46% (-0.567 -0.57)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.204 -0.2)
3-0 @ 2.12% (-0.557 -0.56)
4-1 @ 1.18% (-0.289 -0.29)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.141 -0.14)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 32.15%
1-1 @ 11.11% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-2 @ 6.2% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.98% (-0.173 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1.54% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.07%
1-2 @ 9.07% (0.552 0.55)
0-1 @ 8.13% (0.376 0.38)
0-2 @ 6.63% (0.803 0.8)
1-3 @ 4.94% (0.663 0.66)
0-3 @ 3.61% (0.686 0.69)
2-3 @ 3.38% (0.253 0.25)
1-4 @ 2.01% (0.407 0.41)
0-4 @ 1.47% (0.373 0.37)
2-4 @ 1.38% (0.203 0.2)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 43.77%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Dumbarton 2-2 Arbroath
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Arbroath 0-3 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Arbroath 0-0 Montrose
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Stenhousemuir 2-1 Arbroath
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Bonnyrigg Rose 0-1 Arbroath
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Inverness 0-0 Arbroath (3-4 pen.)
Tuesday, July 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Annan 0-1 Alloa
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Alloa 1-0 Stenhousemuir
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Dumbarton 3-3 Alloa
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Alloa 0-0 QotS
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Morton 2-1 Alloa
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Alloa 3-2 St Johnstone
Tuesday, July 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup


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