SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arouca | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
43.44% ( -0.01) | 24.61% ( -0) | 31.95% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.98% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.13% ( 0.02) | 44.87% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.77% ( 0.02) | 67.23% ( -0.02) |
| Arouca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.26% ( 0) | 20.74% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.63% ( 0.01) | 53.37% ( -0.01) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.16% ( 0.02) | 26.84% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.85% ( 0.02) | 62.14% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arouca | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.89% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.75% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.61% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.12% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.87% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0)Other @ 2.74% Total : 43.44% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.57% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.6% | 1-2 @ 7.58% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.32% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.82% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.32% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 3.1% Total : 31.95% |
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