Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 75.02%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 9.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.46%) and 1-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.08%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 2-1 (2.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.
Result | ||
Aston Villa Women | Draw | Chelsea Women |
9.77% (![]() | 15.2% (![]() | 75.02% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.09% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.19% (![]() | 33.81% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.35% (![]() | 55.64% (![]() |
Aston Villa Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.36% (![]() | 43.63% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.18% (![]() | 79.82% (![]() |
Chelsea Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.41% (![]() | 7.58% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.86% (![]() | 27.14% |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa Women | Draw | Chelsea Women |
2-1 @ 2.94% (![]() 1-0 @ 2.74% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 1.14% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.05% ( ![]() Other @ 1.91% Total : 9.77% | 1-1 @ 7.08% (![]() 2-2 @ 3.79% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.31% ( ![]() Other @ 1.03% Total : 15.2% | 0-2 @ 11% (![]() 0-3 @ 9.46% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.13% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 8.53% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 7.85% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 6.1% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 5.06% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.25% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 3.15% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 2.61% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 2.1% ( ![]() 0-6 @ 1.35% ( ![]() 1-6 @ 1.12% ( ![]() 2-5 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 3.22% Total : 75.02% |
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