Women's Super League | Gameweek 1
Oct 1, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Villa Park
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 72.59%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 10.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.94%) and 0-3 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-0 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Manchester United Women in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester United Women.
| Result |
| Aston Villa Women | Draw | Manchester United Women |
10.33% ( 0.48) | 17.07% ( 0.11) | 72.59% ( -0.59) |
| Both teams to score 47.15% ( 1.51) |
| 58.74% ( 0.99) | 41.26% ( -0.98) |
| 36.34% ( 0.99) | 63.65% ( -0.99) |
| 52.36% ( 1.61) | 47.63% ( -1.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.04% ( 1.17) | 82.96% ( -1.17) |
| Manchester United Women Goals |
| 90.03% ( 0.11) | 9.96% ( -0.11) |
