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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 55.04%. A win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 23.42% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.79%) and 1-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Charlotte FC win was 1-2 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atlanta United | Draw | Charlotte FC |
55.04% ( 0.17) | 21.54% ( -0.07) | 23.42% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 61.66% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.11% ( 0.2) | 36.89% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.93% ( 0.22) | 59.06% ( -0.22) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.56% ( 0.12) | 13.43% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.6% ( 0.24) | 40.4% ( -0.25) |
| Charlotte FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.23% ( 0.02) | 28.77% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.39% ( 0.03) | 64.61% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atlanta United | Draw | Charlotte FC |
| 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.26% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.78% Total : 55.04% | 1-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.54% | 1-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.33% Total : 23.42% |
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