SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 42.07%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.29%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atlanta United | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
42.07% ( 0.13) | 23.66% ( -0.04) | 34.27% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 62.22% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.31% ( 0.17) | 39.68% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.96% ( 0.17) | 62.04% ( -0.18) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.8% ( 0.13) | 19.2% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.12% ( 0.21) | 50.88% ( -0.21) |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77% ( 0.03) | 23% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.2% ( 0.04) | 56.8% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atlanta United | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
| 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.01% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.86% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.34% Total : 42.07% | 1-1 @ 10.71% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.66% | 1-2 @ 7.87% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.86% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.42% 2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 3.18% Total : 34.27% |
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