Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 51.01%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 25.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 0-1 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlotte FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Charlotte FC | Draw | Portland Timbers |
51.01% ( -1) | 23.76% ( 0.3) | 25.23% ( 0.7) |
Both teams to score 56.02% ( -0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.72% ( -0.66) | 45.28% ( 0.66) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.38% ( -0.64) | 67.62% ( 0.64) |
Charlotte FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.21% ( -0.62) | 17.79% ( 0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.5% ( -1.08) | 48.5% ( 1.08) |
Portland Timbers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.15% ( 0.22) | 31.85% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.71% ( 0.25) | 68.29% ( -0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Charlotte FC | Draw | Portland Timbers |
1-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.64% Total : 51.01% | 1-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.53% 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.76% | 0-1 @ 6.48% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.67% Total : 25.23% |
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