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Major League Soccer
May 18, 2024 at 6.45pm UK
First Tennessee Park
AU

Nashville
1 - 1
Atlanta

Williams (40' pen.)
Surridge (45+3'), Bauer (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Slisz (56')
Guzan (37'), Rode Gregersen (44')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nashville 2-0 Toronto
Thursday, May 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-0 Atlanta
Thursday, May 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Nashville SC 3-1 Atlanta United

Despite the close proximity in the table, these two teams have been in contrasting form of late. With Nashville on an upward curve and with home advantage, we are backing them to come through this contest in relatively convincing fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 53.66%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 23.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Nashville SCDrawAtlanta United
53.66% (2.345 2.35) 22.73% (-0.453 -0.45) 23.6% (-1.896 -1.9)
Both teams to score 57.66% (-0.583 -0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.73% (0.2 0.2)42.26% (-0.206 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.33% (0.198 0.2)64.67% (-0.20400000000001 -0.2)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.27% (0.89700000000001 0.9)15.73% (-0.903 -0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.17% (1.633 1.63)44.82% (-1.637 -1.64)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.42% (-1.44 -1.44)31.57% (1.435 1.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.02% (-1.691 -1.69)67.97% (1.686 1.69)
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 53.66%
    Atlanta United 23.6%
    Draw 22.73%
Nashville SCDrawAtlanta United
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.121 0.12)
1-0 @ 9.19% (0.195 0.2)
2-0 @ 8.5% (0.429 0.43)
3-1 @ 6.04% (0.253 0.25)
3-0 @ 5.24% (0.415 0.42)
3-2 @ 3.48% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.79% (0.197 0.2)
4-0 @ 2.42% (0.259 0.26)
4-2 @ 1.61% (0.054 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.03% (0.102 0.1)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 53.66%
1-1 @ 10.59% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-2 @ 5.65% (-0.156 -0.16)
0-0 @ 4.97% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.73%
1-2 @ 6.1% (-0.362 -0.36)
0-1 @ 5.73% (-0.286 -0.29)
0-2 @ 3.3% (-0.304 -0.3)
1-3 @ 2.35% (-0.239 -0.24)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.173 -0.17)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 23.6%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Nashville 2-0 Toronto
Thursday, May 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 1-0 Nashville
Sunday, May 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 4-1 Montreal
Sunday, May 5 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 1-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, April 28 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 3-1 Nashville
Sunday, April 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 1-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, April 7 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-0 Atlanta
Thursday, May 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 2-3 DC United
Sunday, May 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 1-2 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 0-0 Atlanta
Sunday, April 28 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 1-2 Cincinnati
Sunday, April 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 2-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, April 14 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer


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