SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 58.01%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 20.52%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.04%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 1-2 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Atlanta United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atlanta United.
| Result | ||
| Atlanta United | Draw | Chicago Fire |
58.01% ( 0.02) | 21.47% ( -0.02) | 20.52% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 57.63% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.72% ( 0.08) | 40.28% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.34% ( 0.08) | 62.65% ( -0.08) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.35% ( 0.03) | 13.65% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.17% ( 0.06) | 40.83% ( -0.06) |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.74% ( 0.05) | 33.25% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.13% ( 0.06) | 69.87% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atlanta United | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 9% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.98% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.98% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 3.34% Total : 58.01% | 1-1 @ 9.95% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.47% | 1-2 @ 5.48% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.75% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.01% ( 0)2-3 @ 2% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.27% Total : 20.52% |
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