Having at least stopped the rot in recent weeks, Corinthians will back themselves to upset the odds with the pressure rising on their opponents. However, Athletico PR should have enough quality in their ranks to negotiate what may be more competitive than many people are anticipating.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 59.24%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 17.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.68%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
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