Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 31.28% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Cruzeiro win was 0-1 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.
Result | ||
Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Cruzeiro |
40.65% ( -0.04) | 28.07% ( -0) | 31.28% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 46.82% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.89% ( 0.02) | 59.11% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.44% ( 0.02) | 79.56% ( -0.02) |
Athletico Paranaense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.48% ( -0.01) | 28.52% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.7% ( -0.02) | 64.3% ( 0.02) |
Cruzeiro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.49% ( 0.05) | 34.51% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.78% ( 0.05) | 71.22% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Cruzeiro |
1-0 @ 12.34% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.24% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.45% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 1.7% Total : 40.64% | 1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 9.84% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( 0) Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.06% | 0-1 @ 10.47% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.99% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 31.28% |
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