SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 59.23%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Santos had a probability of 17.78%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Santos |
59.23% ( -0.07) | 22.98% ( 0.11) | 17.78% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 48% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.25% ( -0.52) | 50.75% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.36% ( -0.46) | 72.64% ( 0.46) |
| Athletico Paranaense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.2% ( -0.21) | 16.8% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.23% ( -0.37) | 46.77% ( 0.37) |
| Santos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.69% ( -0.36) | 42.31% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.3% ( -0.31) | 78.7% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Santos |
| 1-0 @ 12.67% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 11.3% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 6.72% 3-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 3% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.85% Total : 59.21% | 1-1 @ 10.9% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.79% Total : 22.98% | 0-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.63% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.8% Total : 17.78% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
