SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 60.29%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 18.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.54%) and 0-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for an Augsburg win it was 2-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Augsburg | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
18.74% ( -0.05) | 20.97% ( 0.01) | 60.29% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 56.28% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.39% ( -0.1) | 40.61% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37% ( -0.11) | 63% ( 0.11) |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.75% ( -0.11) | 35.25% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.99% ( -0.12) | 72.01% ( 0.12) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.93% ( -0.02) | 13.07% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.33% ( -0.04) | 39.67% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Augsburg | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 2-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.51% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.76% Total : 18.74% | 1-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.97% | 1-2 @ 9.95% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.54% ( 0.03)0-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 6.75% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.47% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.43% ( -0)0-4 @ 3.29% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.4% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.34% ( 0)Other @ 3.45% Total : 60.29% |
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