SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 49.96%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 0-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Austin FC | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
49.96% ( 0.49) | 24.56% ( 0.01) | 25.48% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 53.68% ( -0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.5% ( -0.42) | 48.5% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.37% ( -0.38) | 70.63% ( 0.39) |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.57% ( 0.04) | 19.44% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.73% ( 0.06) | 51.27% ( -0.05) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.63% ( -0.63) | 33.38% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30% ( -0.7) | 70% ( 0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Austin FC | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 1-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 5.21% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.02)Other @ 3% Total : 49.96% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.56% | 0-1 @ 7.12% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.37% Total : 25.48% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
