In their three meetings against the Earthquakes, Austin are yet to taste victory, and we think that trend will continue on Saturday, with the hosts utilising home advantage to hold their visitors to a point.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 54.08%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
