SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 64.95%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 15.95%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 1-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.78%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | FC Utrecht |
64.95% ( -1.65) | 19.09% ( 0.81) | 15.95% ( 0.84) |
| Both teams to score 57.08% ( -0.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.2% ( -2.18) | 36.8% ( 2.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.03% ( -2.4) | 58.97% ( 2.4) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.34% ( -1.01) | 10.65% ( 1.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.49% ( -2.31) | 34.51% ( 2.31) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.88% ( -0.33) | 36.12% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.1% ( -0.34) | 72.9% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.21)1-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.55)3-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.23)3-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.32)4-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.27)3-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.15)4-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.18)5-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.23)5-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.21)5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.13)Other @ 3.79% Total : 64.95% | 1-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 5% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.4)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.2% Total : 19.09% | 1-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.21) 0-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.37)0-2 @ 2% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.36% Total : 15.95% |
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