SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 62.87%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 17.58%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 1-0 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | FC Utrecht |
62.87% ( 0.7) | 19.55% ( -0.09) | 17.58% ( -0.61) |
| Both teams to score 59.07% ( -0.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.11% ( -0.65) | 35.89% ( 0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.02% ( -0.72) | 57.98% ( 0.72) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.08% ( -0.01) | 10.92% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.89% ( -0.03) | 35.11% ( 0.02) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.32% ( -1.05) | 33.68% ( 1.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.66% ( -1.16) | 70.33% ( 1.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.28)1-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.26)3-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.21)4-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.78% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.05)5-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.8% Total : 62.87% | 1-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.24% Total : 19.55% | 1-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 4% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.88% Total : 17.58% |
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