SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 48.03%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 25.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (8.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bahia | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
48.03% ( 0.65) | 26.16% ( -0.09) | 25.81% ( -0.57) |
| Both teams to score 49.11% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.37% ( -0.05) | 54.63% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.03% ( -0.04) | 75.97% ( 0.04) |
| Bahia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.23% ( 0.28) | 22.76% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.54% ( 0.41) | 56.45% ( -0.41) |
| Athletico Paranaense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.58% ( -0.51) | 36.42% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.8% ( -0.52) | 73.2% ( 0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bahia | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
| 1-0 @ 12.26% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.89% Total : 48.02% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.29% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.16% | 0-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.86% Total : 25.81% |
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