Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 58.14%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 18.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bahia in this match.
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