The two sides come into Thursday's game in contrasting runs of form, and with far more quality in their squad than the hosts, we can only envisage a relatively routine Palmeiras triumph.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Bahia win was 1-0 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
-0.01) 
0.02) 
