SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 75.14%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Bala Town had a probability of 9.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.07%) and 0-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.4%), while for a Bala Town win it was 1-0 (3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bala Town | Draw | The New Saints |
9.24% ( -0.92) | 15.62% ( -0.9) | 75.14% ( 1.82) |
| Both teams to score 48.08% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.26% ( 1.38) | 37.74% ( -1.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.01% ( 1.46) | 59.98% ( -1.46) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.54% ( -0.92) | 47.46% ( 0.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.16% ( -0.7) | 82.83% ( 0.7) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.51% ( 0.75) | 8.49% ( -0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.58% ( 1.83) | 29.42% ( -1.83) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bala Town | Draw | The New Saints |
| 1-0 @ 3% ( -0.29) 2-1 @ 2.76% ( -0.24)2-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.37% Total : 9.24% | 1-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.43) 0-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.27)2-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.78% Total : 15.62% | 0-2 @ 12.25% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 10.07% ( 0.39)0-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.31)1-2 @ 9.13% ( -0.2)1-3 @ 7.51% ( 0.1)0-4 @ 6.21% ( 0.45)1-4 @ 4.63% ( 0.22)0-5 @ 3.07% ( 0.32)2-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 2.29% ( 0.19)2-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.04)0-6 @ 1.26% ( 0.17)1-6 @ 0.94% ( 0.11)Other @ 3.31% Total : 75.13% |
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