SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 73.97%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Bala Town had a probability of 9.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.73%) and 3-0 (10.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.79%), while for a Bala Town win it was 0-1 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| The New Saints | Draw | Bala Town |
73.97% ( 0.26) | 16.39% ( -0.12) | 9.63% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 46.79% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.75% ( 0.15) | 40.25% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.37% ( 0.15) | 62.62% ( -0.15) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.62% ( 0.09) | 9.37% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.44% ( 0.23) | 31.56% ( -0.24) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.63% ( -0.18) | 48.36% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.5% ( -0.13) | 83.5% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| The New Saints | Draw | Bala Town |
| 2-0 @ 12.7% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 10.73% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0)6-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.6% Total : 73.97% | 1-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.71% Total : 16.39% | 0-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.31% Total : 9.63% |
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