SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 69.87%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 13.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.25%) and 3-1 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.49%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 1-2 (3.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Barcelona in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Barcelona.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
69.87% ( 0.23) | 16.81% ( -0.07) | 13.31% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 58.66% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.45% ( -0.09) | 31.54% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.97% ( -0.11) | 53.03% ( 0.1) |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.89% ( 0.02) | 8.11% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.52% ( 0.06) | 28.48% ( -0.06) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.84% ( -0.29) | 36.16% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.06% ( -0.3) | 72.94% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barcelona | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.07)1-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 4.95% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 2.49% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1.04% ( 0)6-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.61% Total : 69.87% | 1-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.24% Total : 16.81% | 1-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.09% Total : 13.31% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
