SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 85.64%. A draw had a probability of 9.7% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 4.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.08%) and 4-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.57%), while for a Oxford City win it was 1-2 (1.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barnet | Draw | Oxford City |
85.64% ( 0.04) | 9.74% ( -0.01) | 4.62% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 45.75% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.17% ( -0.13) | 26.83% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.73% ( -0.17) | 47.27% ( 0.17) |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.73% ( -0.02) | 4.27% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 82.27% ( -0.05) | 17.73% ( 0.05) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.79% ( -0.23) | 52.21% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.86% ( -0.15) | 86.14% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnet | Draw | Oxford City |
| 3-0 @ 11.65% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 11.08% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.02)6-0 @ 3.05% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.02)6-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.02)7-0 @ 1.37% 5-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.35% Total : 85.63% | 1-1 @ 4.57% ( 0) 2-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.61% Total : 9.74% | 1-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 1.45% ( 0)Other @ 1.68% Total : 4.62% |
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