Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.68%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
