SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 56.09%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 17.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.21%) and 1-2 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 1-0 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barracas Central | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
17.87% ( -0.05) | 26.03% ( -0.03) | 56.09% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 40.14% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.64% ( 0.05) | 61.35% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.74% ( 0.04) | 81.26% ( -0.03) |
| Barracas Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.51% ( -0.03) | 48.48% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.41% ( -0.02) | 83.58% ( 0.03) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.91% ( 0.06) | 22.08% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.56% ( 0.08) | 55.44% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barracas Central | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
| 1-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 4.24% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 2.05% Total : 17.87% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.7% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.2% ( -0)Other @ 0.42% Total : 26.02% | 0-1 @ 16.17% 0-2 @ 12.21% ( 0.02)1-2 @ 8.84% ( 0)0-3 @ 6.15% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.45% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.32% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0)Other @ 2.66% Total : 56.09% |
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