SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Flint Town United had a probability of 37% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Flint Town United win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barry Town United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barry Town United | Draw | Flint Town United |
38.06% ( -0.11) | 24.93% ( 0.01) | 37% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 58% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.65% ( -0.06) | 45.35% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.31% ( -0.06) | 67.68% ( 0.06) |
| Barry Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.44% ( -0.08) | 23.56% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.38% ( -0.12) | 57.62% ( 0.12) |
| Flint Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.87% ( 0.02) | 24.12% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.57% ( 0.04) | 58.42% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barry Town United | Draw | Flint Town United |
| 2-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.22% 2-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.09% Total : 38.06% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.93% | 1-2 @ 8.31% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.98% Total : 37% |
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