SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 51.94%. A win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 24.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Pontypridd Town AFC win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barry Town United | Draw | Pontypridd Town AFC |
51.94% ( -0.4) | 23.44% ( 0.35) | 24.62% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 56.45% ( -1.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.59% ( -1.51) | 44.41% ( 1.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.22% ( -1.48) | 66.79% ( 1.48) |
| Barry Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.88% ( -0.7) | 17.12% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.67% ( -1.25) | 47.33% ( 1.26) |
| Pontypridd Town AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.11% ( -0.76) | 31.89% ( 0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.66% ( -0.88) | 68.34% ( 0.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barry Town United | Draw | Pontypridd Town AFC |
| 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.64% ( 0.4)2-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 5% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.93% Total : 51.94% | 1-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.13)0-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.35)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.44% | 1-2 @ 6.29% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.24% ( 0.27)0-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0)Other @ 2.65% Total : 24.62% |
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