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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 83.73%. A draw had a probability of 10.9% and a win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 5.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.42%) and 4-0 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.1%), while for a Pontypridd Town AFC win it was 1-2 (1.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Pontypridd Town AFC |
83.73% ( 0.38) | 10.87% ( -0.23) | 5.4% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 46.5% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.08% ( 0.46) | 28.92% ( -0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.12% ( 0.57) | 49.88% ( -0.57) |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.05% ( 0.15) | 4.95% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 80.18% ( 0.45) | 19.82% ( -0.45) |
| Pontypridd Town AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.91% ( -0.15) | 51.08% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.6% ( -0.1) | 85.4% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Pontypridd Town AFC |
| 3-0 @ 11.44% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 11.42% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.09)1-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.12)5-1 @ 3.47% ( 0.06)6-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.05)5-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)7-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.75% Total : 83.72% | 1-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.66% Total : 10.87% | 1-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.99% Total : 5.4% |
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