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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 49.55%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 25.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Pontypridd Town AFC win it was 0-1 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Pontypridd Town AFC |
49.55% ( -0.06) | 25.35% ( 0.02) | 25.09% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 50.86% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.97% ( -0.06) | 52.03% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.24% ( -0.06) | 73.76% ( 0.06) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.98% ( -0.06) | 21.01% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.2% ( -0.09) | 53.79% ( 0.09) |
| Pontypridd Town AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.39% | 35.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.62% ( 0) | 72.38% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Pontypridd Town AFC |
| 1-0 @ 11.67% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.11% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.48% Total : 49.55% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0)Other @ 0.96% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.14% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.37% ( 0)Other @ 1.97% Total : 25.09% |
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