SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 44.34%. A win for Servette had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Servette win was 0-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Basel | Draw | Servette |
44.34% ( -0.56) | 24.89% ( 0.17) | 30.77% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 56.46% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.38% ( -0.57) | 46.61% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.11% ( -0.53) | 68.88% ( 0.53) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.93% ( -0.48) | 21.07% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.12% ( -0.76) | 53.88% ( 0.76) |
| Servette Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.53% ( -0.02) | 28.47% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.77% ( -0.02) | 64.23% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Basel | Draw | Servette |
| 1-0 @ 9.34% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 3.78% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.61% Total : 44.34% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.88% | 0-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 7.37% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.68% Total : 30.77% |
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