SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 37.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.49%) and 0-2 (5.28%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Bayern Munich |
37.61% ( -0.35) | 23.34% ( 0.28) | 39.05% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 64.03% ( -1.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.46% ( -1.41) | 37.54% ( 1.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.23% ( -1.53) | 59.77% ( 1.53) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.68% ( -0.79) | 20.31% ( 0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.31% ( -1.27) | 52.69% ( 1.27) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.36% ( -0.57) | 19.64% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.39% ( -0.94) | 51.6% ( 0.94) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 2-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.28)2-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.06% Total : 37.61% | 1-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.27)3-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.33% | 1-2 @ 8.42% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.32)0-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 4.57% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 3.26% Total : 39.05% |
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