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Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Dec 17, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
BayArena
EF

B. Leverkusen
3 - 0
Frankfurt

Okoh Boniface (14'), Frimpong (51'), Wirtz (57')
Palacios (12')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gotze (33')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 5-1 Molde
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Aberdeen 2-0 Frankfurt
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 3-1 Eintracht Frankfurt

With the title of Herbstmeisterschaft (winter champions) up for grabs here, Leverkusen show no signs of slowing down, and another win is set to come to extend their phenomenal start. Despite their stunning win last weekend, Frankfurt have not been showing much form at all and suffered another defeat in midweek, albeit with a rotated side, and are big underdogs here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 61.04%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 18.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 1-0 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Eintracht Frankfurt win it was 1-2 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawEintracht Frankfurt
61.04% (0.506 0.51) 20.03% (-0.35 -0.35) 18.93% (-0.158 -0.16)
Both teams to score 60.05% (0.992 0.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.16% (1.423 1.42)35.84% (-1.422 -1.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.07% (1.55 1.55)57.92% (-1.549 -1.55)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.61% (0.571 0.57)11.39% (-0.57 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.87% (1.227 1.23)36.13% (-1.225 -1.22)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.77% (0.687 0.69)32.23% (-0.687 -0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.28% (0.772 0.77)68.72% (-0.77200000000001 -0.77)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 61.04%
    Eintracht Frankfurt 18.93%
    Draw 20.03%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawEintracht Frankfurt
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
2-0 @ 8.66% (-0.214 -0.21)
1-0 @ 7.97% (-0.386 -0.39)
3-1 @ 7.1% (0.12 0.12)
3-0 @ 6.27% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.02% (0.142 0.14)
4-1 @ 3.86% (0.151 0.15)
4-0 @ 3.41% (0.071 0.07)
4-2 @ 2.19% (0.125 0.13)
5-1 @ 1.68% (0.102 0.1)
5-0 @ 1.48% (0.064 0.06)
5-2 @ 0.95% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 61.04%
1-1 @ 9.03% (-0.261 -0.26)
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.072 0.07)
0-0 @ 3.67% (-0.266 -0.27)
3-3 @ 1.52% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 20.03%
1-2 @ 5.11% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
0-1 @ 4.16% (-0.219 -0.22)
0-2 @ 2.35% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.1% (0.066 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.93% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 18.93%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 5-1 Molde
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Stuttgart 1-1 B. Leverkusen
Sunday, December 10 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 3-1 SC Paderborn
Wednesday, December 6 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 1-1 Dortmund
Sunday, December 3 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hacken 0-2 B. Leverkusen
Thursday, November 30 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-3 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, November 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Aberdeen 2-0 Frankfurt
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Frankfurt 5-1 Bayern
Saturday, December 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Saarbrucken 2-0 Frankfurt
Wednesday, December 6 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Augsburg 2-1 Frankfurt
Sunday, December 3 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 1-2 PAOK
Thursday, November 30 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Frankfurt 1-2 Stuttgart
Saturday, November 25 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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