SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 62.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Nantong Zhiyun had a probability of 16.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Nantong Zhiyun win it was 0-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Beijing Guoan | Draw | Nantong Zhiyun |
62.58% ( -0.13) | 20.9% ( 0.02) | 16.52% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 52.01% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.93% ( 0.13) | 44.07% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.55% ( 0.13) | 66.45% ( -0.13) |
| Beijing Guoan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.51% ( 0) | 13.49% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.49% ( 0) | 40.51% ( -0) |
| Nantong Zhiyun Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.12% ( 0.22) | 39.88% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.46% ( 0.2) | 76.54% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Beijing Guoan | Draw | Nantong Zhiyun |
| 2-0 @ 10.79% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 10.77% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.63% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.32% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 2.98% Total : 62.57% | 1-1 @ 9.91% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.9% | 0-1 @ 4.94% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.96% Total : 16.52% |
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