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League One | Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
BA

Bolton
2 - 1
Burton Albion

Collins (61'), Williams (63')
Johnston (47'), Williams (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Orsi (66')
Bennett (24'), Whitfield (86'), Sweeney (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bolton Wanderers 3-0 Burton Albion

The Trotters may have failed to bolt the back door shut at home in recent weeks, but even without Evatt barking orders from the touchline, Bolton should not face many obstacles en route to a convincing win here. The international break did come at a good time for a defensively suspect Burton side, but Robinson's side will surely return home battered and bruised as Bolton set their sights on the top half. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 64.17%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 16.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 1-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-2 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bolton Wanderers.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawBurton Albion
64.17% (-0.0010000000000048 -0) 19.34% (0.0010000000000012 0) 16.49% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 57.44% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.09% (0.0020000000000024 0)36.91% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)59.09% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.11%10.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.97% (0.0019999999999953 0)35.03%
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.46% (0.0040000000000049 0)35.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.69% (0.0040000000000013 0)72.31% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 64.17%
    Burton Albion 16.49%
    Draw 19.34%
Bolton WanderersDrawBurton Albion
2-1 @ 9.84%
2-0 @ 9.51% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 8.58%
3-1 @ 7.28%
3-0 @ 7.03% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-1 @ 4.03%
4-0 @ 3.9% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 3.76%
4-2 @ 2.09% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-1 @ 1.79%
5-0 @ 1.73%
5-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 64.17%
1-1 @ 8.88%
2-2 @ 5.09% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 3.87%
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 19.34%
1-2 @ 4.59%
0-1 @ 4%
0-2 @ 2.07%
2-3 @ 1.76%
1-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 16.49%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bolton 1-1 Aston Villa U21s (1-4 pen.)
Tuesday, October 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Bolton 2-2 Shrewsbury
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 2-4 Bolton
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Crawley 0-2 Bolton
Saturday, September 28 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Arsenal 5-1 Bolton
Wednesday, September 25 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Bolton 5-2 Reading
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-3 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 3-1 Burton Albion
Tuesday, October 1 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Blackpool 3-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-2 Notts County
Tuesday, September 24 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-2 Barnsley
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Rotherham 2-2 Burton Albion
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One


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