SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 47.56%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.89%) and 2-3 (4.99%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
31.53% ( 0.05) | 20.91% ( 0.02) | 47.56% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 71.62% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.02% ( -0.08) | 26.98% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.54% ( -0.1) | 47.46% ( 0.09) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.6% ( -0.02) | 18.39% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.46% ( -0.02) | 49.53% ( 0.02) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.76% ( -0.05) | 12.23% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.06% ( -0.1) | 37.93% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.02% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.7% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 3.54% Total : 31.53% | 1-1 @ 8% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 7.12% 3-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.73% Total : 20.91% | 1-2 @ 8.41% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.89% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 4.99% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.97% ( 0)0-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.48% ( -0)1-4 @ 3.09% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 2.62% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)2-5 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.69% Total : 47.56% |
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