Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 52.47%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 20.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (8.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.
-0.09) 
0.01) 
