Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 42.69%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 0-1 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Corinthians in this match.
-0.5) 
0.7) 
